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I’ve been working on the website for the Penn West Philadelphia Basketball League, a youth activity I help coach every Wednesday and Saturday. Take a look and tell me what you think.
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I’ve been working on the website for the Penn West Philadelphia Basketball League, a youth activity I help coach every Wednesday and Saturday. Take a look and tell me what you think.
Cheat sheet: reacting to data and market releases
weak data = Fed ease, stocks rally
consensus data = lower volatility, stocks rally
strong data = economy strengthening, stocks rally
bank loses $4bln = bad news out of the way, stocks rally
oil spikes = great for energy companies, stocks rally
oil drops = great for the consumer, stocks rally
dollar plunges = great for multinationals, stocks rally
dollar spikes = lowers inflation, stocks rally
inflation spikes = will inflate all assets, stocks rally
inflation drops = improves earnings quality, stocks rally
Republicans, traditionally known for being smarter about the economy than Democrats (and less literate about social issues), battled in an economic debate in Michigan, and some of the quotes that came out were really funny. Lenders would love a John McCain presidency, especially if he keeps talking like this:
“I’m glad whenever they cut interest rates, I wish interest rates were zero.”
More from Free Exchange, via Matt Yglesias.
Question to think about: If right-wingers are underrepresented in universities relative to the population and discriminated against by the left-wing majority, as Larry suggests, should there be affirmative action for right-leaning academics? It seems that, on principle, those on the left (who favor affirmative action to promote diversity and correct past injustice) should endorse such a university policy, and those on the right (who more often oppose affirmative action) would be against.
From Greg Mankiw.
Create an obscure signal, poster, or status that only a few people on your campus will understand. You can’t know any of the people and if absolutely no one understands the signal, you lose. Whoever gets the fewest number of people wins. Bonus points if a Google search won’t help you figure out the answer. The idea is to confuse as many people as possible so if you actually know what’s going on you’ll feel special, or something like that. It’s similar to the ‘random game’ we used to play in high school – think of the randomest person that everyone knows.
I thought of this one today, but it’s not too hard: “What about moccasins, waldfogel?”

Wes Anderson in a nutshell. You should watch Rushmore.
Slate’s Nate DiMeo has a good article in Slate about how to make the NHL more interesting. I think this would be great. Winning the Stanley Cup is an unrealistic expectation for 20 of 30 teams in the NHL right now; I think there should be more incentives to keep teams innovating and making the on-field product better. Sure, there is the glory of making the playoffs despite long odds, but at best you are going to get 5 or 6 more home games, and two weeks’ worth of excitement; a far more likely scenario is being out of the playoffs by mid-season. I add potential rules changes to the drive to save the NHL – change the ice to fit international standards (wider and longer).
Attn: My Dear Friend,
I request for your quick help in this {DEAL} that will
benefit both of us without any risk Involved either
now or later. I am Mr.Edwin Martin, 53 years of age
from London and a Chief Auditor in the International
Remittance Department (IRD) in London
I have an amount in Excess of Three Hundred &
Eighty-Four Million Pounds (£384,000.000.00) only,
which has been lying, in our suspense escrow account
for safekeeping. For over 3 years plus now unclaimed
belonging to a “dead customer” Mr. John Paul Getty
from United States of America who died on Apr. 17,
2003 after a brief illness in London Hospital(BBC
News), Visit the web site below for confirmation;
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/em/fr/-/1/hi/uk/2956897.stm
It is only me and 2 other top Management staff knows
about the money and if the money reaches 5 years, it
will Automatically move to the Bank Vault {Central
Bank of United Kingdom} as “UNCLAIMED FUND”.
All I need from you now is to present you to the Bank
Management as the next of kin to the dead man and have
the Bank pay you (Beneficiary) this money as your late
Uncle’s money which he left in our bank since you are
a foreigner like him. We will be having a top
management meeting in 5days time from now, hence you
need to write me back soon so that I can instruct you
what to do fast. So, Please if you are interested,
kindly get back to me as quickly as possible to enable
me make all the necessary arrangement towards how to
present you to the bank as “truly next of kin” to the
late man. It does not matter if you are from America
or not.
I will secure all Documentations to back your claims
and also as an insider, all the documents that the
bank may require as proof from you, will be arranged
from here which will be sent to you ASAP!
After the claim of this money by you through our
assistance, you will take 40% of the total Sum and 5%
to cover any cost of expenses which both will incure
in this transaction and keep the rest 55% for me in
the account I will forward to you later after the deal
is done or will come to your place for sharing etc.
Please always write to me on my private email
address:{edwin_private2007@myway.com} for effective
communication b/w us. Furthermore, Pls indicate your
options towards assisting me as I believe that this
transaction would be concluded within six (6) days you
signify your interest to assist me.
Thanks for your understanding.
Anticipating hearing from you urgently.
Best Regards,
Mr.Edwin Martin.
=========================================================
*Disclaimer: This message is intended only for the use
of the individual who is interested in the Business
and may contain information which is privileged,
confidential, and proprietary and exception from
disclosure under applicable law. If you are not the
intended recipient or the person responsible for
delivering the message to the intended recipient, you
are strictly prohibited from disclosing, distributing,
copying or in any way using this message. If you have
received this communication in error, please notify
the sender, and destroy and delete any copies you may
have received.* Thank you * Mr.Edwin!
If you think free trade is bad for the economy, you must either think taxes on imports are good for the economy, or taxes on imports are even worse for the economy than having free trade, which is bad. If you take position #1, you either believe that 4000% taxes (in effect, no trade at all) are better than no taxes, or that there is some tax rate on trade, between 0 and 4000, that is “best.” Let’s examine each of these cases for a simple product, bananas.
No bananas are grown in the United States, because the climate isn’t right; they are grown in Ecuador and other countries, and then shipped here. Let’s say with free trade, everyone has to pay $1 for a banana from Ecuador, and there are 110 bananas sold every year. The government introduces a tax on trade, say 20 cents per banana, which raises the cost of bananas to, say, $1.10 (Half the tax is paid by the customer, and half eats into the banana farmer’s profits. In real life, the new price would be anywhere between $1 and $1.20, depending on how much consumers are still willing to buy bananas). In response, customers buy only 100 bananas from Ecuador this year. Wawa and Safeway and Wegman’s buy less bananas, because their customers are buying less bananas. This means they can’t make as much money, because they make a small margin on every sale. Not to mention, Jamba Juice charges more for smoothies, because bananas are more expensive. Ecuadorean farmers are also worse off – they can only charge 90 cents per banana as opposed to 1 dollar per banana, and in addition they’re selling fewer bananas – 100 vs. 110. To summarize, the consumer is worse off – he/she has to pay $1.10 as opposed to $1 for a banana. Grocery stores, food trucks, and smoothie makers are worse off – they don’t make as much money from selling bananas as they did before. And Ecuadorean farmers are worse off – they don’t sell as many bananas as before and they are forced to sell them for less money.
At this point, a Smart Joe decides to grow bananas in Florida. Because he has to pay each of his workers in Tampa more than the farmers in Quito, and because he needs a lot more fertilizer and irrigation to grow his bananas than the Ecuadoreans, the cheapest he can produce bananas for is $2. Seeing as he can only sell them for $1, Smart Joe isn’t doing very well; in fact, he’ll be out of business by the end of the week. But he gets a great idea. He rounds up three friends who pool their money to pay a lobbyist to turn Congress against Ecuadorean bananas, arguing that the Ecuadorians are getting rich at the expense of Americans who pay exorbitant amounts for their bananas, and that because the Ecuadoreans are doing so well selling bananas, they’re taking jobs away from his farm. Smart Joe goes on the floor of Congress, talking about how hard his life is as a farmer and how he’ll be out of business by the end of the week. Hillary Clinton, with her eye on the next nomination, gets up and talks about protecting American jobs. Congress passes a law to tax banana imports $400 per banana. Out of desperation, Ecuadorean farmers decide to give away their product for free. Even so, no one in America is willing to pay the $400 tax for bananas, the farmers are forced out of business by the end of the week, and there’s a severe shortage of bananas in the U.S. Jamba Juice, realizing bananas are an integral part of its smoothies, and wanting to make its supplies last a while, responds by charging $100 for every smoothie it makes. Let’s look at the results – the consumer is worse off, having to pay 100 dollars per banana and eventually not being able to buy bananas. Jamba Juice is worse off – it can only make smoothies if it has bananas, and its sales plummet, which hurts every person who owns shares of Jamba Juice, not to mention people who enjoy its smoothies. And Ecuadorean farmers are worse off – they’re all out of business and out of jobs, contributing to unemployment in Ecuador and depriving them of the ability to sell their signature export.
The winners are Smart Joe and his three friends, who quickly buy as much land as he can lay hands on and starts planting bananas, and he has enough trees to sell 20 bananas this year, the entire supply for the United States, which allows him to charge $10 per banana, and receive $8 in profit on every banana sale.
The American Revolution was originally a revolt against high taxes on imports and exports. I just don’t see what people are pointing to when they say free trade is bad for the economy. Maybe they think that we should have no trade, or maybe they think the prices they pay for iPods, or bananas, or gasoline, or sneakers or polo shirts, aren’t high enough as they are.
The United States Federal Government has almost as much debt ($9.1 trillion) as the entire New York Stock Exchange has equity ($9.6 trillion). Of course these are off by half a trillion, or $500 billion, but that’s only the federal government – municipal governments have 1.8 trillion dollars worth of debt.